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Fed Watch - Bitcoin and Macro

Dec 30, 2020

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In this episode, Christian and Ansel discuss the monetary policy of the three major central banks, the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan. They step through the crisis, from the central banks’ position upon entering 2020, through the panic months of March and April, to how they all ended the year in a holding pattern.

The Fed gets blamed for unleashing a flood of liquidity and money printing on the world, but in fact, they were probably the most reserved out of the major central banks. If anyone should suffer inflation of their currency it is the Bank of Japan. Their central bank balance sheet alone is now 126% of their countries GDP, and the ECB’s balance sheet is over 55% of the Eurozone GDP. The Fed looks the tamest of the three in this respect, coming in at only 34%. If QE is money printing, we should expect inflation in these smaller currencies first, but what do we see? They are stuck in deflation and heading for another crash.

Lastly, Christian and Ansel sum up what they think about this year in regards to central banks and bitcoin.

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